Studies Consider Behaviors Predictive of Divorce

The reasons why marriages fail and couples divorce have been studied ad nauseum.   Apparently, everything, including your smoking habits, age and even the state in which you reside is predictive of your odds of divorce. 

Annli Rufuse on the The Daily Beast details 15 of these studies. Here are some of the more interesting ones:

  • If you live in a red state, you're 27 percent more likely to get divorced than if you live in a blue state.

 In red-state couples traditionalin The Compassionate Community: Ten Values to Unite America, by Jonathan Miller and Al Goly marry younger—and the younger the partners, the riskier the marriage. According to the U.S. Census Bureau, the states with the lowest median age at marriage are Utah, Arkansas, Kentucky, and Oklahoma.

 (Source: National Vital Statistics Report, 2003; cited in The Compassionate Community: Ten Values to Unite America, by Jonathan Miller and Al Gore) 

  • If your parents were divorced, you're at least 40 percent more likely to get divorced than if they weren't. If your parents married others after divorcing, you're 91 percent more likely to get divorced.

This could be because witnessing our parents' divorces reinforces our ambivalence about commitment in a "disposable society," says Divorce Magazine publisher Dan Couvrette. "In most people's minds, it's easier to get a new car than fix the one you've got."

 

(Source: Nicholas Wolfinger, Understanding the Divorce Cycle, Cambridge University Press, 2005)

  • If only one partner in your marriage is a smoker, you're 75 percent to 91 percent more likely to divorce than smokers who are married to fellow smokers.

"The more similar people are in their values, backgrounds, and life goals, the more likely they are to have a successful marriage," notes Tara Parker-Pope. From age to ethnicity to unhealthy habits, dissimilarities between spouses increase divorce risks.

 

(Source: Rebecca Kippen, Bruce Chapman and Peng Yu, "What's Love Got to Do With It? Homogamy and Dyadic Approaches to Understanding Marital Instability," Melbourne Institute of Applied Economic and Social Research, 2009)

  •  If you have a daughter, you're nearly 5 percent more likely to divorce than if you have a son.

This figure multiplies with the numbers of daughters or sons. "We think it happens because fathers get more invested in family life when they have boys," says Stephanie Coontz, author of Marriage, a History and director of research for the Council on Contemporary Families.

 

 

(Source: Gordon Dahl and Enrico Moretti, "The Demand for Sons," published in the Review of Economic Studies, 2005)

 

  • If you're of "below average" intelligence, you're 50 percent more likely to be divorced than those of "above average" intelligence.

Presented by University of Delaware education professor Linda Gottfredson, codirector of the Delaware-Johns Hopkins Project for the Study of Intelligence and Society, this figure joins assertions in Richard Herrnstein and Charles Murray's controversial 1994 bestseller The Bell Curve that those with IQs of 100 face a 28 percent probability of divorce in the first five years of marriage, compared to just a 9 percent probability for those with IQs of 130.

 

(Source: Linda S. Gottfredson, "The General Intelligence Factor," Scientific American, Winter 1998, and Richard J. Herrnstein and Charles A. Murray, The Bell Curve: Intelligence and Class Structure in American Life, Simon & Schuster, 1994, page 176) 

 

Child Removed From Country Without Parent's Consent May Be Ordered Returned

The United States Supreme Court ruled that an order prohibiting the removal of a child from a country without the non-custodial parent's consent is enforceable under an international child abduction treaty,

In Abbott v. Abbott, the father and the mother divorced in Chile. The Chilean court granted the mother custody of their son while allowing the father only visitation rights. At the mother’s request, the Chilean court issued a ne exeaorder prohibiting either parent from removing the child from Chile without the agreement of both parents.   Unable to find work in Chile, and without the father’s consent, the mother  left Chile with their son and returned to the United States. The father found the mother and child in Texas and moved to enforce the ne exeat order. 

Justice Anthony Kennedy, writing for the majority, said the ne exeat clause in a Chilean court order conferred a "right of custody" on the noncustodial father within the meaning of the Hague Convention on the Civil Aspects of International Child Abduction. Since  the clause conferred a right of custody, wrote Kennedy, the father may seek to enforce the treaty's remedy — a petition to return the child, in this case to Chile. 

In reaching its decision, the Court emphasized that the father’s  ne exeat right conferred upon him shared authority to “determine the child’s place of residence,” which falls within the scope of a parent’s “right of custody” under the Convention.  Accordingly, the father’s ne exeat right was enforceable pursuant to Hague Convention procedures.

As pointed out in the SCOTUSblog, the underlying policy for the Court’s decision, enforcing  the return remedy is that the  return remedy serves the Convention’s end of ensuring that custody disputes are resolved in the courts of a child’s habitual residence.  A contrary ruling might actually encourage child abduction for the purposes of forum shopping.

The Court did not order the return of the child and remanded the case for further consideration.   In doing so, the Court noted that there are treaty exceptions to the return remedy. For example, one exception to return arises where there is a grave risk of physical or psychological harm to the child; another involves the child's age and maturity to object to return.  

Child Custody and Same Sex Relationships

New York’s highest court, the Court of Appeals, granted a non-adoptive or biological parent visitation with her former same sex partners’ child. In a very narrow ruling, the Court in the case Debra H. v. Janice R., held that only biological or adoptive parents can seek visitation or custody of children.

The parties, Debra H. and Janice R., entered into a Vermont civil union in 2003. A month later, Janice R., who was artificially inseminated, gave birth to M.R. Janice denied Debra’s requests to adopt M.R. and their relationship soured. When Janice refused Debra’s efforts to have visitation with M.R., Debra commenced an action seeking visitation.

Applying New York law established in the case Alison D. v. Virginia M., the Court declined to extend parental rights to persons who are not the biological or adoptive parents of the children.

In doing so, the court expressly declined to establish criteria for parenthood in relationships in which one partner or spouse is not the biological parent, saying a more flexible standard could invite claims of parental rights by people who have no business raising them.

Parents could not possibly know when another adult’s level of involvement in family life might reach the tipping point and jeopardize their right to bring up their children without the unwanted participation of a third party. . .

In sum, Alison D., in conjunction with second-parent adoption, creates a bright-line rule that promotes certainty in the wake of domestic breakups otherwise fraught with the risk of "disruptive . . . battle[s]" (Jacob, 86 NY2d at 659) over parentage as a prelude to further potential combat over custody and visitation.

Though neither the biological or adoptive parent, Debra H. was granted parental rights because the parties had entered into a civil union. The Vermont civil union law requires that “all the same benefits, protections and responsibilities under law” of marriages be accorded in civil unions.

This decision, in effect, established two sets of standards for children of same-sex couples: one set for those born to couples with a legally recognized relationship, and another for those born to couples without legal recognition. In the absence of a legally cognizable relationship, the party must be either the adoptive or biological parent to acquire parental rights. A non biological or adoptive parent in a civil union or, perhaps, marriage, may acquire rights by virtue of the relationship.


 

Same Sex Divorce- Available in New York, Questionable Elsewhere

While more states are allowing same sex marriage, obtaining a same sex divorce may be problematic. Though the District of Columbia and five states have legalized same-sex marriage, CNN is reporting that some states, which do not recognize same sex marriage explicitly ban same divorce or will not even recognize the validity of the marriage.

Though New York will not allow same sex marriage, it will recognize, as valid, marriages performed in a state which allows same sex marriage. In those cases where New York recognizes the validity of same sex marriage, New York courts will permit same sex divorce. In fact, I have been fortunate enough to have represented successful same sex litigants seeking a divorce.

While all heterosexual marriages and divorces are recognized when a couple moves from one state to another, some states do not follow New York’s example, and will not recognize as valid, same sex marriages even if the marriage was lawfully entered into another jurisdiction.

In the states not performing sex marriage, the issue of same sex divorce creates a conflict- if the state doesn't recognize a marriage, then how could it dissolve it? If a state that outlaws gay marriage but grants a same-sex divorce, does that imply gay marriage is recognized? On the other hand, the denial of the same sex divorce locks the parties in a same sex marriage which the state opposes.